Tomorrow Will Be Different
By Rod Van Mechelen
I wrote this in response to W.F. Price's interesting article, Will 2020 be a year of upheaval? The short, easy answer to his question is, "yes." But there's a lot more to it, and I barely scratch the surface in my short post, below.
The Sexist Long Wave: Kondratiev and The Cycle of Sexism
2013 Olympia, WA - In 1989 on a Usenet posting while discussing my first book (now posted along with a growing collection of archived articles, here), I predicted that in the years between 2010 (1965 + 45) and 2030 (1965 + 65) the wave of anti-male sentiment would be completed and the next wave of anti-female sentiment would have begun.
My forecast was based on the synthesis of Reay Tannahill's survey in her book, Sex in History, and the work of soviet economist Nikolai Kondratiev, and has been posted on my website for almost 20 years.
My goal has always been to stop this cycle of sexism, but there are a lot of factors that feed into it, and while I am inclined to agree that the misandry bubble will pop sometime around 2020 neither my calculations nor what I have read from the sources cited above take into consideration countervailing forces that will mitigate in favor of misandry: global demographics, transformational technologies, and the goals and efforts of the global elite.
Will Transformational Technologies Save Government-Sponsored Feminist Programs?
Second Wave Feminism got an early boost from the government, and it has never stopped. Both second and third wave feminism rely heavily on government for their persistence. But we are on the cusp of a global depression that will sap the ability of governments throughout the west to support feminist programs. Both second and third wave feminism are also rife with sexist bigots, which has had the ironic effect of making the Men's Rights Movement more feminist--by definition--than the feminists, in that we really do support and promote real legal, social and cultural equality, while they do not. Consequently, public sentiment against the feminist bigots is growing. These all mitigate in favor of a decline in mainstream misandry sometime around 2020.
Several transformational technologies, however, could forestall the global depression, infusing governments with the resources needed to sustain feminist programs. Technologies such as cold fusion, vastly improved electrical energy storage, graphene applications, stem cell technologies, and so on.
Feminism, the Anglosphere Elite and the Coming Woman Shortage
Then there are the goals and efforts of the global elite. (Perhaps the best site to document this is The Daily Bell.) Feminism serves them. Destruction of the middle class, the criminalization of masculinity, which turns every (middle and lower class) man into a de facto suspect, serves them. Dismantling the Constitution piecemeal serves them. Dispatching armed drones into American skies serves them. Imposing strict censorship on the web serves them.
Demographically, the relative value of fecund females is set to go hyperbolic by 2020, when insane policies in Asia and the Subcontinent will manifest a shortage of women of child bearing age. In the past, when war has created a shortage of men, peace and prosperity were the result. What will happen when we have a shortage of women? Will we see a rise in female power, with matriarchies like the ones in Robert Heinlein's classic, The Moon Is a Harsh Mistress? Will we see rampant homosexuality and mandatory sexual servitude for women, as in J. Neil Schulmann's The Rainbow Cadenza? Are we entering a season of war?
Which set of forces will prevail? In all likelihood, there will be no clear winner. But in the short run the power of the state will likely increase in response to the threats to social stability and an increase in civil strife. Given time and the liberty to do so, the markets will respond, people will adapt, life will find a way. But politics has a way of protecting the status quo, with unfortunate consequences.
Wealthy Beyond Our Wildest Dreams of Avarice...For a Purpose
My answer to that is for MRAs and MGTOW to get as rich as possible as fast as possible so we can become a force to reckon with the global elite and to, as Julie Borowski mentioned in one of her more recent videos about promoting libertarianism to women, create movies, books, TV series, and so on that help to infuse the cultures with values, virtues, attitudes and ideas that are more reasonable and sane.
But the time in which to do that is compressing. John Williams of Shadow Government Statistics recently said that the dollar bubble could begin to pop by mid-May 2013, and he is forecasting hyperinflation by the end of 2014. The Weidemers, of Aftershock fame, think we have one or a few more years than that, and that inflation will not exceed 100% in any given year. But in his latest interview Williams said that when gold reaches $100,000/oz, don't sell, don't take profits, but wait, it will get worse, and when the worst is over there will be tremendous opportunities for those who hold fast, so I have suspended all my stock purchases to focus solely on silver (and maybe a little gold), at least until this summer.
No Guarantees Misandry Will End
John Williams might be right, but cold fusion and the other technologies--all of which I support and hope to see succeed--could change all of that, with the unfortunate consequence of shoring up the status quo.
There is no guarantee that misandry will subside. Years ago in Not Guilty: The Case in Defense of Men, talking about feminists P.J. O'Rourke quippped, "They've got us surrounded, we have no choice but to drink our way out." You could try that, but the best thing we can do, in my opinion, is to make preparations based on the old rule, "hope for the best but plan for the worst." That will afford us the most flexibility and the highest chances of success, and it's what I'm doing.
Rod Van Mechelen
Rod Van Mechelen is the author of What Everyone Should Know about Feminist Issues: The Male-Positive Perspective (the page now includes several articles by other authors), and the publisher of The Backlash! @ Backlash.com and Cowlitz Country News. He is a member of the Cowlitz Indian Tribe and served for 9-1/2 years on the Cowlitz Indian Tribal Council.